Implementing an earth monitor

When I was a teenager – well if we have a startup nation mentality, we all continue to be the real rebels aren’t we? – I noticed when I was at the beach, this very same kind of human negative presence on earth. That was an agglomeration of plastic melted with small rocks and other kinds of debris. Today it seems this has a name, called, plastiglomerate.

Human negative impact could be prevented if we were more aggressive on monitoring and measuring the imbalance created by human activity. This is achieved if we generate and make more data accessible.
Have you come across what is the potential to solve earth problems that include social, environmental and economic convergence if more anonymized data was published, make it assessable and make combine it to find solutions?

We can have two kinds of domains to measure impact:

  • Evaluative: conducted retrospectively and based on actual outcomes that have already happened.
  • Forecast: predicts how much social value will be created if the activities meet their intended outcomes.

Promoting the creating of a global telemetry system and public data disclosure can be used to improve climate models, provide surveillance of environmental status and enable early warning systems for extreme events, or protect the biosphere and ecosystems, that also includes people finding a way to be included in the society and have access to a source of income, being able to access a bank account, clean energy.

  • TELCOS can enable the use the end point sensor capabilities to measure microclimate in the context of farming or make a joint venture with utilities to promote maximize green energy generation and introduction into the transportation network, giving also an edge on energy trading markets.
  • Facility management companies can create global energy management models leveraging in the buildings where services are provided to induce practices to reduce energy consumption and promoting self-generation or storage.
  • Governments can correlate patterns that will put people at risk, by changes in the societal context that will make people lose their job. It can promote wellness education to improve quality of life and decrease the cost of care.

You might argue that like in those challenges of the customer golden record, we will never get to know with full precision who the customer is, and the profile is incomplete, however, it is better to have some data on day one and build the scale effect, conducting to reliable, verifiable, and objective data to that will make us to step-in to:

  • Climate action: greenhouse gases (GHG) emissions; disaster prevention and resilience; waste management and water management.
  • Economic development: green energy production, and consumption; agriculture and land use; mobility; healthcare access; infrastructure development.
  • Social equality: access to employment; food security; upskilling; participation and integration into society.

The viability of this approach thus depends primarily on the number of people, entities, and the intensity of use of the datasets and ultimately, data existence.

Report on the future of human potential

You can download the report here.

La Futura offered me the opportunity to create a space for a reflection point related with realizing human potential. The following document was written in collaboration by a group of volunteers across the Americas, Europe, and Southeast Asia. I aspired for contributions from a larger geographical spectrum, fortunately, this current body of work, will spark the curiosity from forthcoming members to incorporate an increased diverse and divergent thinking with origins in other parts of the globe. I hope this release, become expanded and reviewed in the future – instead of remastered as it happens with music records – this is, an ongoing ambition that I expect to be achieved.

The genesis of this outcome that is now being made public was to create an instrument that would serve to make decisions and positively influence the society in which we will live in the future. Although some of the presented scenarios were accelerated and made a reality 10 years earlier due the covid 19 pandemic, there were already weak signs that the way we would work would forcibly change – hybrid work models with a greater distribution of time in remote mode supported by co-creation and communication technologies.

However, this document is not about the future of work. It is about the future of the potential of the human being. Solely understanding the technological impact on humans and how soon we might be outcompeted is not enough. As such, this task force aims to expand the analysis spectrum to these areas, which present a more complete and diversified understanding of the challenges to be addressed. We defined to understand the scenarios and the recommendations for realizing human potential around these broad five categories.

  • Job creation or workless future & social protection – as economies become increasingly automated, their general ability to create new jobs needs to be redefined, or to pursue a new welfare model in which people will not have a job and economic growth is redistributed. On the other hand, organizations & governments need to be aware of where talent is headed and how they can shape the workforce and ensure a just transition.
  • Productivity, and well-being – productivity and satisfaction vary by experience, role, and social context. Not all the work can be done virtually, and there is still a considerable amount of effort to maintain a work-life balance, and the ability of workers to cope with distributed demands for near-immediate availability, out of what had been considered the “working hour period”.
  • Human augmentation – people and technology cooperate to enhance the way work is performed, considering human-centered design for human capabilities – cognitive and physical augmentation – and intrinsic limitations.
  • Virtual universe, twin worlds, and physical spaces – the recreation of immersive collaborative work environments that convey a sense of real-world presence, the rise of avatars. The impact on office spaces redesign and collaboration in a hybrid environment and the downstream changes on urbanism and cities regeneration with the diminishing presence of buildings. Additionally, exponential growth of data and digital twins enable workers to perform their tasks and gain insights from digital twins more than the physical environments they represent.

And last and as important is the aspect of diversity and inclusion. One element we learn from the meaning of the South Africa’s coat of arms – the motto, written in the Khoisan language of the San people (a tribe) – is: “diverse people unite or people who are different join together”.

  • Ethics, privilege, and being inclusive – One key element to unlocking potential is opportunity. If groups of workers are locked behind barriers of racism, sexism, lack of privilege ableism, and other obstacles, they will never be able to reach their individual potential. Organizations must take a leadership role by influencing the shift in social norms and affecting the collective mindset might be more effective towards combating barriers for people to openly participate in the labor market.

LaFutura´s task force aims to contribute to individuals to go beyond getting skills, wants to contribute to people to get employed contrary to the tendency associated with a persistently low demand for labor, in a continuously evolving environment, this document is headed towards identifying scenarios, to find solutions and possibilities instead of resignation or adopting a position of protest against globalization, automation or liberal policies.

The future of human potential – executive summary

After a fruitful, global, collective journey, here is a condensed view coming out of the Task force of the future of human potential.

Progress is still needed to understand how open anonymous global data banks can contribute to address society challenges related with people upskilling, career progression, supply chain optimization, eliminate waste and surplus, identify risks, value chain decarbonization, promote wellness and quality of life. On the other hand, mechanisms are still needed and become a standard which people have the freedom to control data access and sharing and how those will prevent the propelling effect of general false truth, mistrust, unbalanced exercise of power towards workers and influence any form of bias.

To create understanding of the future of human potential, the working group has decided to organize their thinking around specific scenarios. It is through these scenarios that each of us can better understand which direction we will probably be headed to, which paths we can come across.

The scenarios

Intelligence to determine risks and create paths for preparing for the future
Every individual should gain accurate guidance about their options on personal development, based on data. Several factors can be potentially associated with the extent to which the existing and future working population acquires the right skills within the workplace, in a constantly shifting labor market. Such factors include multiple variables and dimensions such as: demographics, age incidence, the structural environment, referring mainly to the wider socioeconomic conditions and the levels of preservation of the urban setting, showing how the potential of facing unemployment or a degradation of income that can be often associated with the aforesaid structural factors, particularly when they are combined with technological evolution, lack of industry sector competitiveness or social deprivation.

Autonomous supply chains
Today we see extensive work being done to improve supply chains, warehousing, transportation, shipping, etc. All these activities are affecting jobs today, but there is much more automation and job disruption yet to come. To best envision this, think of supply chains that are completely automated from the acquisition of raw materials, through manufacturing, trade finance, shipping, and all the way to delivery. Predictive maintenance, and other AI models will help to keep the overall process running smoothly, while anticipating where there could be challenges across the entire flow. This will drive down the cost of manufactured products to be a much smaller share of income.

Transportation productivity
By 2030 this segment will see dramatic changes with autonomous vehicles being the predominant transportation mechanism. Most of the existing delivery and transportation jobs will be replaced, along with many of the supporting jobs. Furthermore, the safety of the transportation network will be dramatically improved, changing or eliminating jobs related to insurance, repair, and security.
We can also expect to see an entirely new set of products and services to be delivered as part of the autonomous vehicle experience. New specialized vehicles dedicated to sleeping, working, entertainment, partying, and others, will be combined with education and transportation will increasingly be the thing that is happening while riders are having entirely different experiences.

Changing nature of urbanism and the return of clean enterprises to the heart of the cities
Cities have always been places where commercial and industrial activities, working, and living were physically and functionally together. The rise of regulations related to environmental protection, shift of land value and operating supporting infrastructures, separate these functions in space. The re-invention of the modern urban image and unscrupulous consumption of public space has led to contemporary gentrification and decreased investment in the architectural preservation of the urban setting.

Human ingenuity for hacking and trolling
Over the next decades we should expect to see new opportunities for hacking and trolling to destabilize governments, corporations, and discredit individuals. These hacking and trolling opportunities fall into these categories.

Humanity against humanity
Since humans have always found ways to exploit each other for their own benefit, the benefit of their group, or even simply out of spite, we should expect to see this continue through new channels as work becomes more integrated with technology and distributed. As economic disparity grows, it will become increasingly important that both private sector and governmental organizations do more to ensure that people feel they have a vested interest in the success of the whole. Failure to do this will encourage further social unrest, anarchistic tendencies, and deeper class and ideological divisions.

Automated food supply technologies
Just as we see increased automation in supply chains for manufactured goods, we can also expect to see considerable change in both the food supply system and the distribution and preparation process. Farming jobs will become increasingly technological with farmers being technologists that must manage their AI models and robotic farm equipment. The multiple digital twins will tell farmers what fertilizers to apply, pests to mitigate, equipment to maintain, and a host of other inputs telling them what to do next and where attention is needed. Integration of farms’ digital twins with weather data will help farmers improve water usage while also protecting crops from risks. Many of the hands-on task’s farmers do today, related to monitoring their crops for pests and moisture, checking animal health and growth, tracking the farms output will be replaced by data streams and AI models in their digital twins.

Medical workers
Workers will undergo a gradual transition from devices that we carry, to devices, fabrics, or implants that we wear embedded with dedicated medical features – infused with interpretive artificial intelligence that can predict and advise based on indicators and conditions prior to medical events.

Increasing the wealth divide
Likely we will see a greater divide between the haves and the have nots as it relates to work. Those that will be doing the work they love, will also likely gain more wealth. This will be driven in part because of the increasingly technical nature of even what might be seen today as very manual. Furthermore, there will be fewer and fewer jobs where workers can simply show up and sell their time.

Assisted reasoning
We will reach a stage in which we will see humans assisted by automated systems allowing perception integration support – the required information contextualized with human cognitive task – it is not about the control panel or the alarm, it is about being advised “look at this piece of information and act, accordingly”, using simulation to predict or forecast results of actions taken.

Machine physical enablement
Use cases which humans collaborating with other machines will increase dramatically. Physical augmentation aims to enhances humans by improving, enhancing their inherent physical capabilities the strength and endurance for effortless manual tasks – due to heavy physical, sensorial, and cognitive workload – or recovering – in case the human faces challenges, according to the expected quality of performance criteria. Recovering capabilities will contribute for higher inclusion in the workforce and new employment opportunities.

Accessible artificial intelligence
AI running amok – As we look ahead, we anticipate that the creation of AI models will become much, much simpler, opening up the field for non-technical creators. It will be analogous to website creation in the 1990s. During the period of rapid World Wide Web growth, website creation skills moved from technical, to graphical, customer experience, and design expertise. In the same way, we expect that within the next 5 years, we will see a shift of AI model creation from technical creators to non-technical creators.

Virtual workspaces
Can be defined as a collaborative work environment that convey a sense of presence in the real world using visual, auditory, haptic, and other sensory elements. They use technologies and techniques of virtual reality, augmented reality and mixed reality, but also includes information search with a self-learning mechanism, as well as technologies for collaborative decision-making. Virtual workspaces will be adaptable for best productivity and human performance for that job role, designed to be used for multiple work purposes with opposing requirements.

Emotional response and wellness surveillance
As virtual interaction progresses, ways of detecting the dynamics of verbal and nonverbal signals will become clear, it will be possible to measure such signs as a same basic need – feeling transparency and engaged – as it happens in face-to-face-meetings. We will experience rapid progress in correct transmission of nonverbal signals, leveraging or combining the communication devices used (device microphone, camera, messaging) via detection of face expressions, posture, mannerisms, voice modulation, writing style.

Diversity and inclusion transparency
Just as millennials forced changes in labor practices with the introduction of “bring my own device” and “do my own thing”, younger generations such as generation Z will have a strong behavioral influence on the path to self-activism in defending values, they believe in. Organizations will be required to make publicly available open datasets about the nature of the workforce and that these data sources can be certified and scrutinized. In this way it will be possible to measure the effectiveness of diversity and inclusion programs, which will begin to move away from the instruments of action related with raising awareness on the topic. Diversity and inclusion will fade towards demonstrating a diversified workforce have power, there is equity, and equality.

The gig economy regressive evolution
The future oligopoly ownership of the personal, corporate and its extensions to societal data generated in transactions between digital platforms and their customers will become a momentous transformation in autocratic consumerism of big data. The information will remain in the hands of just a few big companies, even though it has immense value to other economic players.

This outcome would not be possible to accomplish without the contributions of: Dagobert Hartmann, Isaac Leigh, James Breaux, Nils Müller, Sharon Lim, Steve Leigh, Susan Choi, and the valuable influence of:
Kavita Meelu; Kendra Valentine; Kiwa Iyobe and Zarifa Ghafari.

Unlock the human potential with LaFutura

Join La Futura task force and contribute to the new paradigms on work models.

The inception of this endeavour started 4 years ago: I was in Saudi Arabia and I sparked a first reflection called, the man and the machine that later evolved to a book chapter.

This is the past.

Let’s look to the future.

The challenges humanity is facing

Working patterns

  • Work productivity tend to increase if interconnected tools are implemented, however, there is still a substantial path of convergence ahead, in terms of a user-centric computing model that is adaptive enough into a preferred user interface considering the work context. We a are still far away of: “I make my user interface”.
  • Driven by cost pressure, companies are disinvesting in office space and encouraging the workforce to work from home, however, there are signals that not all the work can be done virtually with impact on creativity and relationship networks.
  • Reduce cognitive overload by determination of what, when and how information should be presented (format, time, syntax).

Talent skills and inclusion

  • Greater ownership over information can improve assessment formative power for a range of the next generation of digital skills to be achieved via adaptive training.
  • Shifting social norms and affecting the collective mindset can be more effective towards combat bias that solely focusing on diversity and inclusion training.

New societal normal

  • The level on uncertainty related with economic sifts can bring from an irregular adoption of advanced technology and automation to social polarization, populism, government protectionism or the rising of alternative economic models gather interest.
  • Are we going to move towards total information awareness, where privacy is gone in exchange of security and automation emerges or are we be organized by creating new “tribes” that emerge with profoundly different views of the society?

There is nothing new on the “new normal”

Change is multidimensional and interconnected

Solely understanding the technological impact on humans and how soon we might be outcompeted is not enough. As such, this task force aims to expand the analysis spectrum to these areas, which present a more complete and diversified understanding of the challenges to be addressed. We are proposing the creation of these working groups to enhance the vision of the future of human potential.

  • Job creation or workless future & social protection – as economies become increasingly automated, their general ability to create new jobs needs to be redefined, or to pursue a new welfare model which people will not have a job and economic growth is redistributed. On the other hand, organizations & governments need to be aware of where talent is headed and how they can shape the workforce and ensure a just transition.
  • Productivity, and well-being – productivity and satisfaction vary by experience, role, and society context. Not all the work can be done virtually, and there is still a considerable amount of effort to maintain a work-life balance, and the ability for workers to cope with distributed demands for near-immediate availability, out of what had been considered the “working hour period”.
  • Human augmentation – people and technology cooperation to enhance the way work is performed, considering human centered design for human capabilities – cognitive and physical augmentation – and intrinsic limitations.
  • Virtual universe, twin worlds, and physical spaces – recreation of immersive collaborative work environments that convey a sense of real-world presence, the rise of avatars. The impact on office spaces redesign and collaboration in a hybrid environment and the downstream changes on urbanism and cities regeneration with diminishing presence of buildings.

And last and probably as important is the aspect of diversity and inclusion. I lived in South Africa for 4 years and when I studied the country history, I discovered the meaning of the coat of arms. The motto of the coat of arms, written in the Khoisan language of the San people (a tribe), means: “diverse people unite or people who are different join together”.

  • Ethics, privilege, and being inclusive – which is related with influencing the shift in social norms and affecting the collective mindset might be more effective towards combating barriers for people to openly participate in the labor market.

Contribute to what the human potential might become to be

The task force will be organized by these domains. Join the one that you fell you can contribute the most.

Joining the task force will not only expose you to work with a global diversified talent network, but it also helps to be part of a working group that promotes inclusive divergent thinking and ultimately, will address the unique challenge to understand the relationships between the forthcoming societal construct and to explore strategies to enable a future of prosperity.

  • You can contribute to a change in society.
  • You can influence governments and decision makers on public policies design.
  • You can make people to become ready to address the labor shift.
  • You can sponsor the workplace a better place, by creating a symbiosis with technology.

Don’t try to predict the future, be the change and make the future happen.

I look forward to work with all of you.

More information at: LaFutura – Global Trend Network

Next Generation Healthcare

Most current systems reward innovation that prolongs life, not necessarily the quality of life.

Quality of life can be defined as an individual’s perception of their position in life in the context of the culture, values and spirituality in which they live and in relation to their expectations, concerns and it cannot be separated by their own individuality.

To reach a stage where healthcare will be personal, a medical treatment must consider individual variability. For such purpose, it is necessary to combine EMR records with data about the patient’s societal environment, lifestyle, and their genomic data, on which medical staff can leverage. On the prevention side, would also allow identification of genetic variants that increase a patient’s chances of developing diseases.

With this type of engagement, patients are likely to be more cooperative, and comply with procedures and treatment plans.

The last year and most probably this one was shaped by the COVID-19 pandemic. If the introduction of new ways of providing medical treatment, like tele-healthcare and robotic triage, these drivers are still relevant such as: changing care models; cost efficiency; data silos & value-based-care model adoption.

In the interactions I had with healthcare providers globally it surfaced the wish to accelerate the following next generation scenarios:

Across the Value Chain

Disease control – using the sensor networks to detect pathogenic agents, classify infection diseases and raise alerts to relevant stakeholders (citizens, government, providers) to act. This scenario can be integrated in the context of municipality management that I alluded before in the writings of Smart City OS.
Cultural analytics – how to turn cultural processes that reflect the societal context into exploring cultural datasets (non-healthcare data sources) on different unstructured data formats: text, image, video. This allow to understand population profiling and its contribution to most common diseases and support healthcare public policy design.

Patients and citizens centricity

Connected devices with dedicated medical features – infused with interpretive AI that can predict and advise based on indicators and conditions prior to medical events.
Healthcare passport – managed by the citizen it can: curate, record, monitor and share various aspects of your medical history. It can be integrated with a digital identity and be enhanced in pandemic/epidemic response.
Data access and permission management – the patient is able to define the ability to accept, reject or modify relationships with healthcare providers payors such as: hospitals, insurers and clinics (“I control my data I decide with whom I share my ”data”).

Empowering medical staff

Emergency department management – enabling to handle sudden unscheduled walk-in visits, effective triage and monitoring of different patients’ vital signs and conditions, like skeleton motion, emotional state, in real-time. This scenario will loom with the implementation of 5G networks.
Medical digital twin – augmented human-machine interface and immersive collaboration environments in the context of: anatomy education; functional diagnostics – allow analysis of the patient-specific status quo and predict the surgical outcome; validate the change in functionality that can be expected after a surgical intervention and surgical procedure training.
Patient reported outcomes – recognizing the patient’s affective state, the whole area of human emotional intelligence especially dealing with people’s emotions and incorporating such emotional intelligence into patient interaction.

The last year and most probably this one was shaped by the COVID-19 pandemic. If the introduction of new ways of providing medical treatment, like tele-healthcare and robotic triage, these drivers are still relevant such as: changing care models; cost efficiency; data silos & value-based-care model adoption and they will shape the introduction of innovation in healthcare.